One of the best resources for investors are the publicly available 13F-HR documents that each fund is required to submit to the SEC. These documents allow investors to track their favorite superinvestors, their fund’s current holdings, plus their new buys and sold out positions. We spend a lot of time … Read More
Howard Marks: How to Take the Market’s Temperature
In his memo titled – Taking The Temperature, Howard Marks discusses the importance of “taking the temperature of the market” by observing patterns and cycles driven by investor psychology. Study market history to recognize that extreme optimism or pessimism often leads to corrections. Cycles stem from excesses, where strong movements are … Read More
Howard Marks: When Investors Are Practicing Suspension Of Disbelief, It’s Dangerous
During this interview with Real Vision, Howard Marks discusses the risks of excessive optimism in financial markets, emphasizing how imprudent behavior drives prices too high based on overly favorable expectations, creating a risky environment. He recounts the distressed debt opportunities in 2002 following the telecom meltdown and scandals, which presented … Read More
Howard Marks: What Warren Buffett Taught Me About ‘Desirable’ Information
In this presentation to Banco March, Howard Marks discusses the futility of predicting the future in investing, noting that most investors cannot accurately forecast macroeconomic factors like markets, currencies, or interest rates. He highlights quotes from John Kenneth Galbraith, Amos Tversky, and Mark Twain to stress the dangers of acting … Read More
Howard Marks: Second-Level Thinking Separates Good Investors from Great Ones
In this interview with Global Money Talks, Howard Marks reflects on key investment lessons he learned early in his career. In the 1970s, he realized that no asset is so exceptional that it justifies an unlimited price. Regardless of quality, every asset has a fair value, and overpaying can lead … Read More
Howard Marks: 2 Reasons Exiting the Market Will Cost You Big
During his recent interview with Bloomberg, Howard Marks discusses the importance of distinguishing between high and overpriced markets, suggesting that valuations should guide whether investors adopt a defensive or aggressive approach. He advises against making drastic decisions, like exiting the market entirely, as it often leads to missed opportunities. Marks … Read More
Howard Marks: Misconceptions of Risk in Investing
During his recent interview with Barron’s, Howard Marks highlights a key misconception about risk: many attempt to quantify it using formulas, typically relying on volatility or standard deviation as proxies. However, he argues that these metrics fail to reflect the true nature of risk, which is the possibility of an … Read More
Howard Marks: The Secret to Achieving an Elite Investment Track Record
In this interview with Kiatnakin Phatra Wealth Management, Howard Marks explains why effective risk control is essential to achieving investment success, summarizing his philosophy as “if we avoid the losers, the winners take care of themselves.” Rather than seeking extraordinary gains, Marks focuses on maintaining consistent, good-quality investments, aspiring for … Read More
Howard Marks: The Key Difference Between Good Assets and Good Investments
During his recent interview with Barron’s, Howard Marks reflects on his early days in finance, noting that banks in the 1970s invested in the “Nifty Fifty” — America’s top-growing companies, seen as infallible regardless of price. Despite the companies’ quality, investors who held these stocks for five years lost over … Read More
Howard Marks: Great Investors Don’t Rely on Economic Predictions
During his recent interview with the 3 Takeaways Podcast, Howard Marks argues that economic forecasting is largely unhelpful for investors. He points out that even renowned investors like Warren Buffett avoid relying on economic or market predictions when making investment decisions. Instead, Buffett emphasizes the value of information that is … Read More
Howard Marks: Choosing the Right Risk Level in Investing
In his recent memo titled – Ruminating on Asset Allocation, Howard Marks argues that in an efficient market, the expected return rises proportionally with risk, meaning no position on the risk spectrum is inherently superior—all offer a similar risk-to-return ratio. This view assumes markets price assets fairly, negating the chance … Read More
Howard Marks: After Significant Gains Take A Little Off The Table
In this interview with Global Money Talk, Howard Marks discusses the importance of flexibility over rigid rules in investing. He uses the example of a stop-loss order, which limits potential losses but may cause investors to miss out on future gains. There are no perfect rules that guarantee both safety … Read More
Howard Marks: Why We Never Wait For The Bottom To Buy
In his book – Mastering The Market Cycle, Howard Marks discusses the difficulty of timing market bottoms and the risk of waiting too long to invest. He discusses the concept of “falling knives,” where investors fear buying before a market decline stops, leading them to wait for certainty. However, by … Read More
Howard Marks: The Contrarian’s Edge In A Hot Market
In his book – The Most Important Thing, Howard Marks reflects on the 2004–2007 period, where investors mistakenly believed that cutting risk into small pieces and distributing it could eliminate risk. This false sense of security contributed to the financial crisis of 2008. Popular strategies like absolute return funds, low-cost … Read More
Howard Marks: The Economic Lessons of Animal Farm
In his latest memo titled – Shall we Repeal The Laws of Economics?, Howard Marks reflects on his early understanding of economic systems, shaped by George Orwell’s Animal Farm. He highlights the dangers of centrally planned economies, using the book’s motto—”From each according to his ability, to each according to … Read More
Howard Marks: Smart Investors: Manage Portfolios with Life Insurance Strategies
In Part 9 of his series on How To Think About Risk, Howard Marks compares risk management in investing to automobile and life insurance. Just as we buy car insurance for peace of mind regardless of whether an accident occurs, investors should manage risk without expecting to avoid it entirely. … Read More
Howard Marks: The ‘Sitting On Your Hands’ Investing Strategy
In his memo titled – What Really Matters, Howard Marks discusses the value of long-term investing over short-term market timing. He encourages investors to focus on holding quality investments rather than frequently trading, arguing that over-diversification and excessive trading often lead to suboptimal outcomes. He highlights Bill Miller’s insight that … Read More
Howard Marks: You Make Your Own Luck? Success Is Never Accidental? Bull!!
In his memo titled – Getting Lucky, Howard Marks challenges the notion that success is solely the result of personal effort, emphasizing the significant role of luck. He shares personal anecdotes, including nearly joining Lehman Brothers, and reflects on how fortunate he has been throughout his career. Marks acknowledges that … Read More
Howard Marks: Every Investor Needs To Choose Between Optimizing and Maximizing
During his recent Behind The Memo Podcast with Morgan Housel, Howard Marks discusses his philosophy on investing, emphasizing prudence, risk management, and the importance of long-term survival over short-term gains. Marks advocates for an optimizing approach, where investors carefully manage their risks to ensure they can weather the bad days, … Read More
Howard Marks – Top 10 Holdings – Latest 13F
One of the best resources for investors are the publicly available 13F-HR documents that each fund is required to submit to the SEC. These documents allow investors to track their favorite superinvestors, their fund’s current holdings, plus their new buys and sold out positions. We spend a lot of time … Read More