Category Archive

In his latest memo titled – Fewer Losers, or More Winners?, Howard Marks explains how superior investing involves creating an asymmetry with more upside potential than downside risk, and alpha is the key to achieving this. Here’s an excerpt from the memo: The last element I want to touch on … Read More

In this interview with the Brazil Journal, Howard Marks explained why he feels very positive about the current environment, saying the fragile conditions create more opportunities. Here’s an excerpt from the interview: Marks: I gave a speech from 2010 to 2020 entitled “Investing in a Low Return World.” We were … Read More

In his book, The Most Important Thing, Howard Marks explains why being alert to what’s going on and taking the market’s temperature, can help us gain a better understanding of the investment climate and make better investment decisions. Here’s an excerpt from the book: When I say that our present … Read More

In this interview with 3ProTV, Howard Marks discusses the difference between first level thinking, which is simplistic and often wrong, and second level thinking, which is more nuanced and takes into account all of the factors involved. Here’s an excerpt from the interview: Marks: This idea that there was no … Read More

In this lecture on SYA, Howard Marks discusses the lower returns across all asset classes, that have increased risk-taking, and a “race to the bottom” in the investment world. Here’s an excerpt from the lecture: Marks: The issue is that when we got into the global financial crisis, the central … Read More

During his recent presentation at INSEAD’S IMC, Howard Marks explained why the future is unusually murky, unusually uncertain. Here’s an excerpt from the presentation: Marks: Each investor should have a notion for what is the right balance of aggressiveness and defensiveness for them. It’s a personal thing. It’s subjective, and … Read More

One of the best resources for investors are the publicly available 13F-HR documents that each fund is required to submit to the SEC. These documents allow investors to track their favorite superinvestors, their fund’s current holdings, plus their new buys and sold out positions. We spend a lot of time … Read More

During his recent OakTree podcast, Howard Marks explained why the strategies that have worked best need to change in the current environment. Here’s an excerpt from the podcast: Marks: I feel quite strongly about this. I’m not somebody who usually has strong macro opinions, but this time I do. Anybody … Read More

In his book, Mastering The Market Cycle, Howard Marks discusses the one question investors should ask regarding a possible investment. Here’s an excerpt from the book: My point is that, in a negative environment, excessive risk aversion can cause people to subject investments to unreasonable scrutiny and endlessly negative assumptions … Read More

In his June Roundup of OakTree Letters, Howard Marks explained why the years ahead won’t be easy for investors. Here’s an excerpt from the roundup: Marks: The overarching theme of my sea-change thinking is that, largely thanks to highly accommodative monetary policy, we went through unusually easy times in a … Read More

In this interview with Nicola Wealth, Howard Marks discusses the cardinal sin of investing. Here’s an excerpt from the interview: Marks: That’s a really good observation. First of all the worst single thing you can do as an investor, and there are many ways to make mistakes, and there are … Read More

During this interview on The Investor’s Podcast, Howard Marks was asked whether AI will replace human investors. Here’s an excerpt from the interview: Marks: I just don’t think so! This is this is an art form. We have thousands of people with high intelligence try to do these things and … Read More

During this interview at the 2023 Value Investing Conference, Howard Marks discussed the one way to forecast. Here’s an excerpt from the interview: Marks: One of the most insightful questions that I get, and I’ve gotten it a few times since writing that memo, is you make investment decisions with … Read More

During his recent interview at Real Estate Luminaries 2023, Howard Marks explained why there will be significant losses throughout the economy. Here’s an excerpt from the interview: Marks: People are gonna lose money, because when Bob talks about it requiring a half a trillion of equity capital to reequitize the … Read More

In his latest memo titled – Lessons From Silicon Valley Bank, Howard Marks discusses moral hazard and the ‘Greenspan Put’. Here’s an excerpt from the memo: One problem with government solutions of any kind – like the so-called “Greenspan put” – is the possibility that they’ll generate moral hazard.  That … Read More

During his recent interview with The Investor’s Podcast, Howard Marks explained why this decline in interest rates was the biggest single event in the last 45 years. Here’s an excerpt from the interview: Marks: I believe there’s a couple things worth noting. Number one, I think that this decline in … Read More

During this interview with Talks at GS, Howard Marks explained why AI will never become as good as Warren Buffett. Here’s an excerpt from the interview: Marks: I wrote a memo called ‘Investing Without People’ in which I talked about what will happen with AI and so forth and machine … Read More

During the CFA’s Distinguished Speaker Series 2023, Howard Marks explained why when the tide goes out we’ll find out who made good credit decisions. Here’s an excerpt from the interview: Marks: The private lending business came into existence sometime around 2011, ’07 I think there was about a quarter of a … Read More

In this interview with SJP, Howard Marks discusses how investors drive themselves nuts focusing on the short-term. Here’s an excerpt from the interview: Marks: The least important thing is the short run. Everybody’s obsessed with what is going to be inflation over the next six months. What will the Central … Read More

During his recent interview with the Asia Society, Howard Marks explained why a soft landing is extremely unlikely. Here’s an excerpt from the interview: Marks: It was a great investment sage called Peter Bernstein, and he wrote me once, that the market is not an accommodating machine, it will not … Read More