Risk is often misunderstood, not because it is complicated, but because it defies intuition. As Howard Marks explains in his discussion on the character of risk, “risk is counterintuitive” and “risk is perverse.” The way we perceive risk can often be the exact opposite of reality, leading investors, policymakers, and … Read More
Mohnish Pabrai: How the Kelly Formula Can Improve Your Financial Strategy
In his book The Dhandho Investor, Mohnish Pabrai discusses the Kelly Formula, a strategy for determining the optimal fraction of a bankroll to bet on favorable odds. Using examples, Pabrai illustrates how to calculate the edge (expected value) and apply the formula to maximize returns while managing risk. For instance, … Read More